PETIT GROUPE
Récurrence d’événements extrêmes
30 au 31 mai 2016
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We aim at organizing a European consortium of partners to submit a proposai to a FET OPEN call in September 2017. The goal of the FET project will be to gather and adapt recent mathematical results in dynamical systems and statistical extreme value theory to the modelling of rare a n d / o r extreme climate events, and provide results that can be exploited by stakeholders and decision makers. The FET project will use the existing CMIP5 climate simulations and coming CMIP6, and provide assessments of extremes in those projections. The added value (from the theoretical results) is the statistical inference of mathematical quantities that describe the extreme events from control, historical and scenario simulations.
This ANR project aims at organizing meetings to build a European scientific network to construct the FET project, formulate scientific bottlenecks and challenges, and evaluate an implementation plan for a use by decision makers. Targeted groups of stakeholders will be invited to participate to one of the meeting in order to exchange on the design of tools to evaluate extreme events. |
Comité d’organisation
John Bazire (Université Versailles St-Quentin) |